Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.704889 0.898437 1.115549 1.374422 1.671973 2.000687 2.388658
2025-08-31 0.431865 0.671504 0.974807 1.374340 1.874427 2.468027 3.213959
2025-09-07 0.292869 0.554777 0.925814 1.457828 2.170066 3.061717 4.232738
2025-09-14 0.194691 0.455693 0.869795 1.511888 2.422990 3.614685 5.235385
2025-09-21 0.124676 0.369441 0.806280 1.536232 2.627762 4.110507 6.186779
2025-09-28 0.072451 0.286462 0.722489 1.509571 2.748319 4.491850 6.999170
2025-10-05 0.044599 0.237149 0.681169 1.537717 2.943315 4.977870 7.964288
2025-10-12 0.025519 0.193500 0.636179 1.548506 3.106274 5.420089 8.879912
2025-10-19 0.011614 0.146737 0.567447 1.502685 3.170270 5.715884 9.596211
2025-10-26 0.004544 0.111823 0.511430 1.468163 3.244383 6.023803 10.333472
2025-11-02 0.001685 0.090674 0.481716 1.478703 3.391288 6.443250 11.238769
2025-11-09 0.000259 0.066378 0.429902 1.432492 3.432635 6.698027 11.907753
2025-11-16 0.000040 0.058323 0.428403 1.498543 3.682459 7.294385 13.106436
2025-11-23 NaN 0.045519 0.402005 1.502992 3.819528 7.716977 14.058929
2025-11-30 NaN 0.041929 0.411402 1.594132 4.123144 8.416168 15.442152
2025-12-07 NaN 0.036259 0.408058 1.652847 4.367640 9.025967 16.702720
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029330 0.393177 1.679363 4.550472 9.539106 17.825978
2025-12-21 NaN 0.020815 0.360115 1.651327 4.622959 9.870273 18.675949
2025-12-28 NaN 0.016637 0.349087 1.681426 4.811907 10.399644 19.839915
2026-01-04 NaN 0.012560 0.332766 1.692982 4.962277 10.866127 20.912630
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007738 0.298723 1.644283 4.983272 11.110911 21.641784
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004616 0.270809 1.607563 5.025247 11.390721 22.428924
2026-01-25 NaN 0.003126 0.258395 1.618792 5.170247 11.852480 23.511085